Should You Grade Aerodactyl?
Fossil · #16
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$11.30
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$12.91
Estimated profit$1.61
Estimated return5%
Break-even sell price$25.47
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$29.76
$-3.54 (-11%)
PSA 8
$36.71
+$3.41 (10%)
PSA 9
$74.09
+$40.79 (122%)
PSA 10
$387.40
+$354.10 (1063%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 14% — grading EV is $12.91 vs $11.30 raw.
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