Should You Grade Alakazam?
Base Set 2 · #1
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$52.98
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$56.07
Estimated profit$3.09
Estimated return4%
Break-even sell price$106.99
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$32.71
$-42.27 (-56%)
PSA 7
$49.24
$-25.74 (-34%)
PSA 8
$80.66
+$5.68 (8%)
PSA 9
$140.21
+$65.23 (87%)
PSA 10
$1584.11
+$1509.13 (2013%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 6% — grading EV is $56.07 vs $52.98 raw.
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