Does Ariados have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-21.41 for Ariados — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Ariados?

Our model estimates approximately -77% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.84, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-21.41. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Ariados?

Neo Genesis · #27

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.84

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-15.57

Estimated profit$-21.41

Estimated return-77%

Break-even sell price$-16.49

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $6.72 $-21.12 (-76%)

PSA 8 $6.91 $-20.93 (-75%)