Does Articuno (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-4.70 for Articuno (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Articuno (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -11% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $20.96, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-4.70. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Articuno (1st Edition)?

Fossil · #17

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$20.96

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$16.26

Estimated profit$-4.70

Estimated return-11%

Break-even sell price$35.15

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $25.38 $-17.58 (-41%)

PSA 7 $26.36 $-16.60 (-39%)