Should You Grade Articuno?
SM Black Star Promos · #SM144
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV positive
Our model estimate: +$26.02 (83% estimated return)
Expected Value
Raw price$9.49
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$35.51
Estimated profit$26.02
Estimated return83%
Break-even sell price$4.03
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$15.00
$-16.49 (-52%)
PSA 8
$18.66
$-12.83 (-41%)
PSA 9
$42.88
+$11.39 (36%)
PSA 10
$289.07
+$257.58 (818%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 274% — grading EV is $35.51 vs $9.49 raw.
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