Should You Grade Articuno?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #22
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$13.09
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-6.58
Estimated profit$-19.67
Estimated return-56%
Break-even sell price$-5.03
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$14.00
$-21.09 (-60%)
PSA 8
$18.00
$-17.09 (-49%)
PSA 9
$40.69
+$5.60 (16%)
PSA 10
$119.96
+$84.87 (242%)
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