Does Ball Guy have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-6.44 for Ball Guy — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Ball Guy?

Our model estimates approximately -23% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.58, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-6.44. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Ball Guy?

Shining Fates · #65

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.58

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-0.86

Estimated profit$-6.44

Estimated return-23%

Break-even sell price$-19.77

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $7.02 $-20.56 (-75%)

PSA 9 $11.82 $-15.76 (-57%)