Should You Grade Blaine's Arcanine?
Gym Challenge · #1
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$124.16
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$128.57
Estimated profit$4.41
Estimated return3%
Break-even sell price$192.33
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$77.03
$-69.13 (-47%)
PSA 7
$117.23
$-28.93 (-20%)
PSA 8
$202.06
+$55.90 (38%)
PSA 9
$418.21
+$272.05 (186%)
PSA 10
$895.76
+$749.60 (513%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 4% — grading EV is $128.57 vs $124.16 raw.
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