Should You Grade Blaine's Charizard?
Gym Challenge · #2
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$611.13
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$571.79
Estimated profit$-39.34
Estimated return-6%
Break-even sell price$765.68
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$449.86
$-183.27 (-29%)
PSA 7
$528.84
$-104.29 (-16%)
PSA 8
$747.20
+$114.07 (18%)
PSA 9
$982.47
+$349.34 (55%)
PSA 10
$4705.80
+$4072.67 (643%)
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