Does Blaine's Charmander (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-11.82 for Blaine's Charmander (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Blaine's Charmander (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -28% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $20.81, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-11.82. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Blaine's Charmander (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #60

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$20.81

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$8.99

Estimated profit$-11.82

Estimated return-28%

Break-even sell price$20.07

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $16.18 $-26.63 (-62%)

PSA 8 $38.21 $-4.60 (-11%)