Does Blaine's Charmeleon (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-23.36 for Blaine's Charmeleon (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Blaine's Charmeleon (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -45% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $29.68, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-23.36. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Blaine's Charmeleon (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #31

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$29.68

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$6.32

Estimated profit$-23.36

Estimated return-45%

Break-even sell price$12.44

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $15.14 $-36.54 (-71%)

PSA 8 $39.84 $-11.84 (-23%)