Should You Grade Braviary?
Surging Sparks · #214
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$5.08
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$7.00
Estimated profit$1.92
Estimated return7%
Break-even sell price$-15.44
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$10.15
$-16.93 (-63%)
PSA 9
$18.36
$-8.72 (-32%)
PSA 10
$63.73
+$36.65 (135%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 38% — grading EV is $7.00 vs $5.08 raw.
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