Should You Grade Brock's Ninetales?
Gym Challenge · #3
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$50.42
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$39.12
Estimated profit$-11.30
Estimated return-16%
Break-even sell price$56.47
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$50.27
$-22.15 (-31%)
PSA 7
$59.59
$-12.83 (-18%)
PSA 8
$80.58
+$8.16 (11%)
PSA 9
$150.00
+$77.58 (107%)
PSA 10
$299.45
+$227.03 (313%)
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