Should You Grade Celebi?
XY Black Star Promos · #XY187
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$13.04
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$13.48
Estimated profit$0.44
Estimated return1%
Break-even sell price$-0.78
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$14.16
$-20.88 (-60%)
PSA 8
$17.65
$-17.39 (-50%)
PSA 9
$63.52
+$28.48 (81%)
PSA 10
$95.00
+$59.96 (171%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 3% — grading EV is $13.48 vs $13.04 raw.
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