Should You Grade Charizard?
Detective Pikachu · #5
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$10.36
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$12.50
Estimated profit$2.14
Estimated return7%
Break-even sell price$-7.72
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$10.23
$-22.13 (-68%)
PSA 7
$14.46
$-17.90 (-55%)
PSA 8
$14.75
$-17.61 (-54%)
PSA 9
$27.93
$-4.43 (-14%)
PSA 10
$183.64
+$151.28 (467%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 21% — grading EV is $12.50 vs $10.36 raw.
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