Should You Grade Charizard?
Expedition Base Set · #40
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$223.76
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$387.19
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$282.31
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$211.18
$-34.58 (-14%)
PSA 8
$265.83
+$20.07 (8%)
PSA 9
$470.79
+$225.03 (92%)
PSA 10
$1224.21
+$978.45 (398%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 73% — grading EV is $387.19 vs $223.76 raw.
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