Should You Grade Charizard?
Stormfront · #103
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$800.99
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$1225.09
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$1749.42
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$723.55
$-99.44 (-12%)
PSA 8
$1385.74
+$562.75 (68%)
PSA 9
$2143.56
+$1320.57 (160%)
PSA 10
$12786.48
+$11963.49 (1454%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 53% — grading EV is $1225.09 vs $800.99 raw.
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