Should You Grade Charmeleon?
Paldean Fates · #110
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$15.73
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$18.53
Estimated profit$2.80
Estimated return7%
Break-even sell price$-8.25
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$15.02
$-22.71 (-60%)
PSA 9
$29.46
$-8.27 (-22%)
PSA 10
$82.06
+$44.33 (117%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 18% — grading EV is $18.53 vs $15.73 raw.
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