Should You Grade Charmeleon?
Stormfront · #102
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$67.84
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$68.33
Estimated profit$0.49
Estimated return1%
Break-even sell price$104.90
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$60.00
$-29.84 (-33%)
PSA 7
$75.84
$-14.00 (-16%)
PSA 8
$106.46
+$16.62 (18%)
PSA 9
$275.00
+$185.16 (206%)
PSA 10
$510.17
+$420.33 (468%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 1% — grading EV is $68.33 vs $67.84 raw.
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