Does Chikorita (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-14.28 for Chikorita (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Chikorita (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -53% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.18, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-14.28. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Chikorita (1st Edition)?

Neo Genesis · #54

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.18

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-9.10

Estimated profit$-14.28

Estimated return-53%

Break-even sell price$-6.75

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $11.02 $-16.16 (-59%)

PSA 8 $20.13 $-7.05 (-26%)