Should You Grade Computer Error?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #16
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$5.64
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-11.13
Estimated profit$-16.77
Estimated return-61%
Break-even sell price$-11.14
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$13.72
$-13.92 (-50%)
PSA 8
$14.77
$-12.87 (-47%)
PSA 9
$21.95
$-5.69 (-21%)
PSA 10
$116.28
+$88.64 (321%)
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