Should You Grade Cool Porygon?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #15
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$81.77
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$53.46
Estimated profit$-28.31
Estimated return-27%
Break-even sell price$81.39
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$49.95
$-53.82 (-52%)
PSA 7
$51.46
$-52.31 (-50%)
PSA 8
$87.27
$-16.50 (-16%)
PSA 9
$215.00
+$111.23 (107%)
PSA 10
$511.88
+$408.11 (393%)
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