Should You Grade Counter Gain?
Lost Thunder · #230
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$9.32
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-8.18
Estimated profit$-17.50
Estimated return-56%
Break-even sell price$-13.62
Profit by Grade
PSA 9
$18.65
$-12.67 (-40%)
PSA 10
$23.60
$-7.72 (-25%)
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