Should You Grade Dark Ariados (1st Edition)?
Neo Destiny · #17
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$18.01
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-4.20
Estimated profit$-22.21
Estimated return-56%
Break-even sell price$-1.72
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$9.50
$-30.51 (-76%)
PSA 8
$26.28
$-13.73 (-34%)
PSA 9
$39.58
$-0.43 (-1%)
PSA 10
$150.52
+$110.51 (276%)
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