Should You Grade Dark Ariados?
Neo Destiny · #17
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$18.91
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-3.15
Estimated profit$-22.06
Estimated return-54%
Break-even sell price$0.32
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$9.50
$-31.41 (-77%)
PSA 8
$26.28
$-14.63 (-36%)
PSA 9
$39.58
$-1.33 (-3%)
PSA 10
$191.95
+$151.04 (369%)
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