Does Dark Ariados have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-22.06 for Dark Ariados — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Dark Ariados?

Our model estimates approximately -54% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $18.91, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-22.06. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Dark Ariados?

Neo Destiny · #17

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$18.91

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-3.15

Estimated profit$-22.06

Estimated return-54%

Break-even sell price$0.32

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $9.50 $-31.41 (-77%)

PSA 8 $26.28 $-14.63 (-36%)