Does Dark Ariados have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-15.45 for Dark Ariados — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Dark Ariados?

Our model estimates approximately -32% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $26.65, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-15.45. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Dark Ariados?

Team Rocket Returns · #30

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$26.65

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$11.20

Estimated profit$-15.45

Estimated return-32%

Break-even sell price$21.10

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $22.37 $-26.28 (-54%)

PSA 8 $37.27 $-11.38 (-23%)