Does Dark Charmeleon (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-0.35 for Dark Charmeleon (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Dark Charmeleon (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -1% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $20.18, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-0.35. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Dark Charmeleon (1st Edition)?

Team Rocket · #32

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$20.18

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$19.83

Estimated profit$-0.35

Estimated return-1%

Break-even sell price$44.49

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $18.22 $-23.96 (-57%)

PSA 7 $34.09 $-8.09 (-19%)