Does Dark Forretress (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-19.62 for Dark Forretress (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Dark Forretress (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -61% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $10.01, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-19.62. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Dark Forretress (1st Edition)?

Neo Destiny · #35

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$10.01

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-9.61

Estimated profit$-19.62

Estimated return-61%

Break-even sell price$-11.50

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $15.41 $-16.60 (-52%)

PSA 9 $29.33 $-2.68 (-8%)