Should You Grade Deoxys?
SM Black Star Promos · #SM164
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$7.35
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$5.49
Estimated profit$-1.86
Estimated return-6%
Break-even sell price$-6.01
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$13.24
$-16.11 (-55%)
PSA 9
$32.87
+$3.52 (12%)
PSA 10
$70.20
+$40.85 (139%)
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