Should You Grade Dialga-GX?
Forbidden Light · #82
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$6.39
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$6.94
Estimated profit$0.55
Estimated return2%
Break-even sell price$-6.11
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$13.21
$-15.18 (-53%)
PSA 9
$39.86
+$11.47 (40%)
PSA 10
$80.90
+$52.51 (185%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 9% — grading EV is $6.94 vs $6.39 raw.
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