Does Erika's Bellsprout (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-19.42 for Erika's Bellsprout (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Erika's Bellsprout (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -71% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.48, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-19.42. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Erika's Bellsprout (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #76

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.48

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-13.94

Estimated profit$-19.42

Estimated return-71%

Break-even sell price$-14.64

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $7.99 $-19.49 (-71%)

PSA 8 $12.02 $-15.46 (-56%)