Does Erika's Bulbasaur (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-27.89 for Erika's Bulbasaur (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Erika's Bulbasaur (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -50% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $33.56, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-27.89. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Erika's Bulbasaur (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #39

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$33.56

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$5.67

Estimated profit$-27.89

Estimated return-50%

Break-even sell price$12.15

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $16.94 $-38.62 (-70%)

PSA 7 $29.78 $-25.78 (-46%)