Should You Grade Erika's Venusaur (1st Edition)?
Gym Challenge · #4
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$305.82
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$534.64
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$999.47
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$181.60
$-146.22 (-45%)
PSA 7
$317.34
$-10.48 (-3%)
PSA 8
$338.23
+$10.41 (3%)
PSA 9
$1110.67
+$782.85 (239%)
PSA 10
$13898.40
+$13570.58 (4140%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 75% — grading EV is $534.64 vs $305.82 raw.
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