Should You Grade Ethan's Ho-Oh ex?
Destined Rivals · #209
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$6.39
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$7.23
Estimated profit$0.84
Estimated return3%
Break-even sell price$-11.33
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$13.87
$-14.52 (-51%)
PSA 9
$22.73
$-5.66 (-20%)
PSA 10
$54.39
+$26.00 (92%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 13% — grading EV is $7.23 vs $6.39 raw.
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