Should You Grade Exeggcute?
Surging Sparks · #192
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$6.50
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$8.78
Estimated profit$2.28
Estimated return8%
Break-even sell price$-14.53
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$11.44
$-17.06 (-60%)
PSA 9
$18.46
$-10.04 (-35%)
PSA 10
$67.79
+$39.29 (138%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 35% — grading EV is $8.78 vs $6.50 raw.
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