Should You Grade Flareon (1st Edition)?
Jungle · #19
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$24.86
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$28.67
Estimated profit$3.81
Estimated return8%
Break-even sell price$52.68
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$37.33
$-9.53 (-20%)
PSA 7
$44.18
$-2.68 (-6%)
PSA 8
$61.38
+$14.52 (31%)
PSA 9
$110.47
+$63.61 (136%)
PSA 10
$649.85
+$602.99 (1287%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 15% — grading EV is $28.67 vs $24.86 raw.
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