Should You Grade Galarian Ponyta?
SWSH Black Star Promos · #SWSH013
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$8.18
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$11.61
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$-11.81
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$3.25
$-26.93 (-89%)
PSA 8
$17.99
$-12.19 (-40%)
PSA 9
$32.76
+$2.58 (9%)
PSA 10
$66.25
+$36.07 (120%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 42% — grading EV is $11.61 vs $8.18 raw.
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