Does Gastly (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-12.61 for Gastly (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Gastly (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -43% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $7.56, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-12.61. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Gastly (1st Edition)?

Neo Destiny · #65

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$7.56

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-5.05

Estimated profit$-12.61

Estimated return-43%

Break-even sell price$-2.33

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $18.78 $-10.78 (-36%)

PSA 8 $20.00 $-9.56 (-32%)