Should You Grade Giovanni's Scheme?
BREAKthrough · #162
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$22.81
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$44.91
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$9.70
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$12.50
$-32.31 (-72%)
PSA 8
$22.29
$-22.52 (-50%)
PSA 9
$54.36
+$9.55 (21%)
PSA 10
$324.48
+$279.67 (624%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 97% — grading EV is $44.91 vs $22.81 raw.
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