Does Golduck (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-7.01 for Golduck (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Golduck (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -25% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $6.18, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-7.01. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Golduck (1st Edition)?

Fossil · #35

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$6.18

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-0.83

Estimated profit$-7.01

Estimated return-25%

Break-even sell price$7.01

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $14.77 $-13.41 (-48%)

PSA 7 $25.11 $-3.07 (-11%)