Should You Grade Greninja BREAK?
BREAKpoint · #41
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$19.97
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$69.49
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$21.21
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$8.88
$-33.09 (-79%)
PSA 8
$11.23
$-30.74 (-73%)
PSA 9
$99.48
+$57.51 (137%)
PSA 10
$429.29
+$387.32 (923%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 248% — grading EV is $69.49 vs $19.97 raw.
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