Should You Grade Heracross?
Neo Genesis · #6
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$77.18
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$170.25
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$324.38
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$86.68
$-12.50 (-13%)
PSA 7
$87.53
$-11.65 (-12%)
PSA 8
$194.70
+$95.52 (96%)
PSA 9
$271.31
+$172.13 (174%)
PSA 10
$4849.70
+$4750.52 (4790%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 121% — grading EV is $170.25 vs $77.18 raw.
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