Does Hitmonchan (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-12.69 for Hitmonchan (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Hitmonchan (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -42% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $7.96, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-12.69. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Hitmonchan (1st Edition)?

Neo Destiny · #69

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$7.96

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-4.73

Estimated profit$-12.69

Estimated return-42%

Break-even sell price$-1.75

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $11.79 $-18.17 (-61%)

PSA 9 $40.92 +$10.96 (37%)