Does Hitmonchan have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-11.04 for Hitmonchan — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Hitmonchan?

Our model estimates approximately -33% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $11.38, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-11.04. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Hitmonchan?

Neo Destiny · #69

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$11.38

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$0.34

Estimated profit$-11.04

Estimated return-33%

Break-even sell price$6.29

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $11.79 $-21.59 (-65%)

PSA 9 $47.35 +$13.97 (42%)