Does Ho-oh (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-25.81 for Ho-oh (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Ho-oh (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -36% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $49.65, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-25.81. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Ho-oh (1st Edition)?

Neo Revelation · #18

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$49.65

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$23.84

Estimated profit$-25.81

Estimated return-36%

Break-even sell price$37.55

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $29.81 $-41.84 (-58%)

PSA 8 $43.11 $-28.54 (-40%)