Should You Grade Ho-oh?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #52
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$46.40
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$22.21
Estimated profit$-24.19
Estimated return-35%
Break-even sell price$37.63
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$20.37
$-48.03 (-70%)
PSA 7
$28.00
$-40.40 (-59%)
PSA 8
$78.00
+$9.60 (14%)
PSA 9
$82.05
+$13.65 (20%)
PSA 10
$413.33
+$344.93 (504%)
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