Should You Grade Houndour?
Neo Discovery · #39
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$9.54
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-9.26
Estimated profit$-18.80
Estimated return-60%
Break-even sell price$-7.77
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$6.29
$-25.25 (-80%)
PSA 8
$21.30
$-10.24 (-32%)
PSA 9
$32.00
+$0.46 (1%)
PSA 10
$117.02
+$85.48 (271%)
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