Does Judge have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-53.60 for Judge — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Judge?

Our model estimates approximately -68% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $56.35, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-53.60. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Judge?

Lost Thunder · #209

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$56.35

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$2.75

Estimated profit$-53.60

Estimated return-68%

Break-even sell price$-8.17

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $13.33 $-65.02 (-83%)

PSA 9 $33.04 $-45.31 (-58%)