Should You Grade Kadabra?
Paldean Fates · #149
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$7.44
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$10.66
Estimated profit$3.22
Estimated return11%
Break-even sell price$-12.92
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$15.02
$-14.42 (-49%)
PSA 9
$17.53
$-11.91 (-40%)
PSA 10
$72.24
+$42.80 (145%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 43% — grading EV is $10.66 vs $7.44 raw.
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