Should You Grade Kecleon?
Surging Sparks · #213
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$6.39
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$10.99
Estimated profit$4.60
Estimated return16%
Break-even sell price$-14.62
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$9.65
$-18.74 (-66%)
PSA 9
$19.61
$-8.78 (-31%)
PSA 10
$73.18
+$44.79 (158%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 72% — grading EV is $10.99 vs $6.39 raw.
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